Just copying what someone else is doing won’t work

October 30, 2008 by admin · Leave a Comment
Filed under: Stumble 

You have to be able to copy execution as well.

I had a discussion with someone yesterday and they were nervous that if they tried a clever marketing technique that a competitor would pop up and do the same.  True.  But, it is all about execution.  Everyone has ideas, some good, some bad.  It is about execution.

If you had the attitude that a competitor will come in and copy what you are doing, you are right.  But if that attitude stops you from starting something, building something, or expanding something, you will never leave square 1.

Let them copy you.  They will.

It is all about exection!

10/10/2008 Stock Market bottom?

October 10, 2008 by admin · 1 Comment
Filed under: Stumble 

Written at 9:47 AM ET 10/10/2008

The long holiday weekend couldn’t come at a better time.

It is time for everyone to come to grips with this thing with the market open and trading occurring, we lack perspective. With the 3 day weekend and regulators doing their best to work out the problem, we could be at the turning point. In my opinion, we are.

This is about psychology.

  • The weather is supposed to be beautiful in the northeast. Believe it or not, that will make a difference. People will gain some perspective about what is really important in life. Family, friends, etc.
  • The 3 day holiday will give regulators time to be rational and hash things out and possibly Instill some confidence into the commercial paper market. Money needs to flow again.
  • GE came out with earnings and instilled a little bit of confidence in discussing the fact that commercial paper is available. Sure they are the most blue of the blue chippers, but it needs to start somewhere.
  • Bad, bad, bad news priced in. Don’t get me wrong, our economy is on the skids. My feeling is that most of that is priced in for the most part. Earnings season will come and companies will be given a lot of leeway in terms of missing any guidance. This has happened many times in the past and we will see relief when companies don’t miss as bad as expected.
  • Buyers will arrive (probably a combination of foreign funds/US investment management… KKR, Blackstone, etc.). With prices where they are, now is the time to be a buyer. Assets are cheap, cash is king.

Again, I believe the economy will be bad, companies will go away, new markets will be formed, unemployment will be high…. But, buyers with cash will benefit. Where is the automatic retirement deposit money going? Where are the automatic monthly investment plan dollars going? There will be enough buying to sustain the market at certain levels. I think we are there.

9:40am 10/10/2008 The stock market has bottomed. HERE IS WHY

October 10, 2008 by admin · Leave a Comment
Filed under: Stumble 

Going out on a limb here after the past few weeks, but I feel the market has bottomed. It happened about 5-7 minutes ago. I was feverishly trying to make a trade, but feel like I missed the bottom. More to come.

HERE IS WHY The stock market bottomed at 9:40 AM 10/10/2008